When Is It Better To Underperform The Market?

When Is It Better To Underperform The Market?

That doesn’t sound right, does it? Who would ever want to underperform the stock market? Shouldn’t the goal be to consistently beat the market? That would be great, but how easy is it to do? S&P Global produces an annual report called SPIVA (https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/documents/spiva/spiva-us-mid-year-2023.pdf) which compares how actively managed funds – those that attempt to…
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What Is The Yield Curve Really Telling Us Today?

The yield curve is the difference between yields (current interest rates) on ten-year U.S. treasury bonds as compared to two-year treasury bonds. Last year the yield curve inverted, meaning the yield on the shorter-maturity two-year bonds is higher than that for the longer bonds. This is an unusual situation since longer bonds – which are…
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Is Bitcoin Almost Ready For Prime Time?

For many years the only way to purchase cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin has been through unregulated private exchanges. And investing in such digital assets has not been for the faint of heart. Aside from the extreme volatility of the assets themselves, the exchanges have suffered a number of high-profile failures. In 2022 alone Terraform, Celsius,…
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This Time Really Is Different!

How many times have you heard the phrase “This Time Is Different?” In the context of investing it usually means something fundamental has changed in the way capital markets operate. The implied consequence is that you can no longer rely on the way things worked in the past to make investment decisions about the future.…
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More Evidence Stock Picking Doesn’t Work

When it comes to equity investing, the difference between luck and skill is primarily a matter of consistency. If you choose to invest in a fund or ETF designed to passively track some stock market index you are practically guaranteed to get market returns. Of course you need to make sure to utilize funds that…
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The Ten Worst Days Ever In The Stock Market

We usually talk about stock market performance on a yearly basis. And last year’s -18% S&P 500 loss was nothing to write home about. But during bad years daily volatility can also spike. In 2022 the index’s worst day was September 13th when it fell -4.3%. How does that one-day loss stack up against the…
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